AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Feb 13, 2025

Porto Vitória

Home
VS
22:00

Desportiva ES

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Porto Vitória Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Desportiva ES Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 3.05 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Porto Vitória Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Desportiva ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Porto Vitória Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 1-0
Jan 28 Porto Vit… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Jan 25 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 1-1
Aug 24 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 0-1
Aug 12 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 0-3
Aug 02 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jul 27 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 2-2
Jul 20 Porto Vit… vs Vitoria 2-0
Jul 13 Porto Vit… vs Desportiv… 0-2
Jul 05 Porto Vit… vs Capixaba … 3-0
Desportiva ES Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Desportiv… vs Vilavelhe… 0-4
Feb 02 Desportiv… vs São Berna… 1-0
Jan 25 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 0-0
Jan 18 Desportiv… vs Vitoria 1-0
Oct 18 Desportiv… vs Castelo 3-0
Oct 15 Desportiv… vs Capixaba … 0-2
Oct 13 Desportiv… vs Tupi 4-3
Oct 05 Desportiv… vs GEL 0-3
Sep 21 Desportiv… vs Castelo 0-1
Sep 18 Desportiv… vs Capixaba … 7-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2024 Porto Vitória 1 - 0 Desportiva ES Copa Espírito …
Jul 13, 2024 Desportiva ES 0 - 2 Porto Vitória Copa Espírito …
Jun 22, 2024 Porto Vitória 1 - 0 Desportiva ES Copa Espírito …
Mar 02, 2024 Desportiva ES 2 - 0 Porto Vitória Capixaba
Mar 22, 2023 Porto Vitória 1 - 1 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Mar 19, 2023 Desportiva ES 2 - 2 Porto Vitória Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Porto Vitória Power 0
Desportiva ES Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Porto Vitória Position

-1

Position Gap

5

Desportiva ES Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.