AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

Liga de Expansión MX Dec 02, 2021

Tepatitlán

Home

01:00

Dorados

Away

AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence

Tepatitlán Win

25.0%

Draw

29.0%

Dorados Win

46.0%

Away Win (46% confidence)

Predicted Score: 1-1

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 50%

Standings 70%

Market 50%

Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 44%

xG: 1.81 - 1.54

Key Insights

Position gap: 5 places

High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized

Score Prediction Analysis

Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

16%

1 goals:

30%

2 goals:

27%

3 goals:

16%

4 goals:

Dorados Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

21%

1 goals:

33%

2 goals:

25%

3 goals:

13%

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Under 2.5 Goals 37%

Tepatitlán Form 0.0%

Date	Match	Result
Nov 07	Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC	1-0

Dorados Form 14.0%

Date	Match	Result
Oct 28	Dorados vs Venados FC	3-0
Sep 30	Dorados vs Mineros d…	1-4
Sep 03	Dorados vs Cancún	2-0
Feb 21	Dorados vs Venados FC	0-0
Feb 10	Dorados vs Cancún	1-0
Jan 13	Dorados vs Mineros d…	1-1

Key Analysis Factors

Dorados in strong form (3W in last 5) Away

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tepatitlán to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier

Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence

Rules Passed

POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

No key factors identified

Tepatitlán Power 0

Dorados Power 0

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

2

Tepatitlán Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Dorados Position

Home Win Rate: 50%

Away Win Rate: 0%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.