AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Apr 15, 2022

Atlas

Home
VS
02:00

Mazatlán FC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Atlas Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Mazatlán FC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.35 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Atlas Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Atlas vs Necaxa 2-1
Apr 03 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 1-0
Feb 12 Atlas vs Puebla 1-1
Sep 29 Atlas vs Puebla 0-1
Mazatlán FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 2-1
Jan 10 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 3-0
Nov 06 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 0-1
Oct 20 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 2-0
Aug 07 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mazatlán FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

MASTER: Atlas to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Atlas Power 0
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlas Position

+15

Position Gap

18

Mazatlán FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.