AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Oct 19, 2024

Atlas

Home
VS
01:00

Mazatlán FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Atlas Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Mazatlán FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Atlas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 2-3
Jul 20 Atlas vs Puebla 1-2
Apr 28 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 0-1
Apr 22 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Apr 15 Atlas vs Atletico … 2-1
Apr 07 Atlas vs Toluca 4-1
Mar 25 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Mar 24 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Mar 09 Atlas vs Puebla 2-2
Feb 10 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 2-0
Mazatlán FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 0-0
Sep 14 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 1-0
Aug 31 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 1-1
Jul 20 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 2-0
Apr 28 Mazatlán … vs Pachuca 1-1
Apr 20 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 0-2
Apr 13 Mazatlán … vs Querétaro 0-2
Mar 11 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 2-1
Feb 17 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 2-2
Feb 10 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atlas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 10, 2024 Mazatlán FC 2 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Dec 30, 2023 Atlas 1 - 0 Mazatlán FC Friendlies Clu…
Oct 21, 2023 Atlas 1 - 3 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Jan 13, 2023 Atlas 2 - 1 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Dec 21, 2022 Atlas 2 - 1 Mazatlán FC Copa por México
Sep 08, 2022 Mazatlán FC 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Apr 15, 2022 Atlas 1 - 2 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Final Verdict

MASTER: Atlas to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Atlas Power 0
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlas Position

+15

Position Gap

18

Mazatlán FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.