AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 01, 2025

Gama

Home
VS
22:30

Paranoá

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Gama Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Paranoá Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Gama Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Gama vs Sobradinh… 0-0
Mar 10 Gama vs Real FC 2-2
Feb 24 Gama vs Paranoá 2-0
Feb 07 Gama vs Brasilien… 2-0
Jan 27 Gama vs Samambaia… 2-1
Mar 12 Gama vs Samambaia… 0-1
Feb 26 Gama vs Brasília 0-2
Feb 12 Gama vs Paranoá 1-1
Feb 08 Gama vs Real FC 0-1
Feb 03 Gama vs Brasilien… 1-2
Paranoá Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Paranoá vs Sobradinh… 0-1
Sep 28 Paranoá vs Friburgue… 0-1
Apr 27 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 0-0
Apr 20 Paranoá vs União Cac… 0-0
Apr 13 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 3-1
Mar 23 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 0-2
Mar 20 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 0-0
Mar 17 Paranoá vs União Cac… 2-1
Mar 02 Paranoá vs Real FC 2-1
Feb 24 Paranoá vs Gama 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gama in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2024 Gama 2 - 0 Paranoá Brasiliense
Feb 12, 2023 Paranoá 1 - 1 Gama Brasiliense
Feb 03, 2022 Gama 0 - 4 Paranoá Brasiliense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gama to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gama Power 0
Paranoá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Gama Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Paranoá Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.