AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 01, 2025

Sobradinho EC

Home
VS
19:00

Capital Brasilia

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Sobradinho EC Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Capital Brasilia Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 0.30 - 2.47
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sobradinho EC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Capital Brasilia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (19%) 0-3 (16%) 0-1 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 1-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Sobradinho EC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Sobradinh… vs Uberlândia 1-0
Jan 26 Sobradinh… vs Paranoá 0-1
Jan 18 Sobradinh… vs Gama 0-0
Apr 10 Sobradinh… vs Gama 1-4
Aug 15 Sobradinh… vs Gama 2-1
Aug 12 Sobradinh… vs Gama 0-5
Capital Brasilia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Capital B… vs Real FC 2-0
Jan 26 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 1-0
Jan 22 Capital B… vs Ceilândia 1-1
Apr 06 Capital B… vs Ceilândia 0-0
Mar 31 Capital B… vs Ceilândia 1-1
Feb 14 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 0-1
Feb 08 Capital B… vs Ceilândia 5-1
Jan 28 Capital B… vs Real FC 0-3
Jan 14 Capital B… vs Paranoá 0-0
Mar 12 Capital B… vs Ceilândia 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sobradinho EC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sobradinho EC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sobradinho EC Power 0
Capital Brasilia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sobradinho EC Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Capital Brasilia Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.