Sergipano · May 01, 2021 19:00
AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
Lagarto
PWR 35
AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Lagarto
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: AO Itabaiana to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (23%)
0-1 (21%)
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AO Itabaiana Form
DWDLL
STABLE
Lagarto Form
LLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS26%
Under 2.581%
AO Itabaiana Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Lagarto Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
AO Itabaianavs
0.91
LagartoDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings66%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AO Itabaiana+2
Gap#4
Lagarto
WR 75% 13 pts
WR 33% 10 pts
AO Itabaiana
8.0%
| Mar 28 | AO Itab… v Dorense | 0-0 |
| Mar 24 | AO Itab… v Lagarto | 0-2 |
| Feb 24 | AO Itab… v Dorense | 0-0 |
| Aug 02 | AO Itab… v Sergipe | 1-4 |
| Jul 30 | AO Itab… v Sergipe | 2-1 |
Lagarto
6.7%
| Apr 28 | Lagarto v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Mar 24 | Lagarto v AO Itab… | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Lagarto v Atlétic… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 24, 2021 | Lagarto | 0-2 | AO Itabaiana |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.