Predictions Match Details
Sergipano · May 09, 2021 19:00

AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT

Lagarto
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AO Itabaiana to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (21%) 0-2 (18%) 0-0 (12%) 0-3 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AO Itabaiana Form LDDWD
STABLE
Lagarto Form WDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS26%
Under 2.566%
AO Itabaiana Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Lagarto Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
AO Itabaiana
vs
1.70
Lagarto
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings66%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AO Itabaiana
+2
Gap
#4
Lagarto
WR 75% 13 pts WR 33% 10 pts
AO Itabaiana 10.0%
May 06 AO Itab… v Lagarto 2-0
May 01 AO Itab… v Lagarto 1-1
Mar 28 AO Itab… v Dorense 0-0
Mar 24 AO Itab… v Lagarto 0-2
Feb 24 AO Itab… v Dorense 0-0
Aug 02 AO Itab… v Sergipe 1-4
Jul 30 AO Itab… v Sergipe 2-1
Lagarto 10.0%
May 06 Lagarto v AO Itab… 2-0
May 01 Lagarto v AO Itab… 1-1
Apr 28 Lagarto v Atlétic… 0-1
Mar 24 Lagarto v AO Itab… 0-2
Mar 13 Lagarto v Atlétic… 0-2
Head-to-Head (3)
May 06, 2021 Lagarto 2-0 AO Itabaiana
May 01, 2021 AO Itabaiana 1-1 Lagarto
Mar 24, 2021 Lagarto 0-2 AO Itabaiana
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.