Sergipano · Feb 16, 2023 23:15
AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
Lagarto
PWR 35
AO Itabaiana
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Lagarto
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: AO Itabaiana to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (57%)
1-0 (17%)
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
0-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
AO Itabaiana Form
WWWWL
UP
Lagarto Form
WWWDD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.52%
BTTS6%
Under 2.598%
AO Itabaiana Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Lagarto Goals
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
AO Itabaianavs
0.26
LagartoDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AO Itabaiana+1
Gap#3
Lagarto
WR 75% 13 pts
WR 50% 10 pts
AO Itabaiana
16.0%
| Feb 11 | AO Itab… v Falcon | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | AO Itab… v Confian… | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | AO Itab… v Dorense | 0-1 |
| Apr 02 | AO Itab… v Sergipe | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | AO Itab… v Sergipe | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | AO Itab… v Lagarto | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | AO Itab… v Falcon | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | AO Itab… v Lagarto | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | AO Itab… v Falcon | 0-1 |
| May 09 | AO Itab… v Lagarto | 0-2 |
Lagarto
16.0%
| Feb 10 | Lagarto v América… | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Lagarto v Dorense | 4-1 |
| Jan 21 | Lagarto v Falcon | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Lagarto v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 20 | Lagarto v AO Itab… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Lagarto v América… | 4-1 |
| Feb 17 | Lagarto v Atlétic… | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Lagarto v América… | 0-1 |
| Feb 05 | Lagarto v AO Itab… | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Lagarto v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Mar 20, 2022 | AO Itabaiana | 0-0 | Lagarto |
| Feb 05, 2022 | Lagarto | 1-2 | AO Itabaiana |
| May 09, 2021 | AO Itabaiana | 0-2 | Lagarto |
| May 06, 2021 | Lagarto | 2-0 | AO Itabaiana |
| May 01, 2021 | AO Itabaiana | 1-1 | Lagarto |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Lagarto | 0-2 | AO Itabaiana |
Key Factors
AO Itabaiana in strong form (4W in last 5)
Lagarto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.