Serie A · Jul 16, 2023 19:00
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
Santos
PWR 35
São Paulo FC
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT
Santos
PWR 35
61% H
22% D
17% A
Final Verdict
São Paulo FC Win
Prediction
4-2
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKINGTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
São Paulo FC Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Santos Form
LDLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS25%
Under 2.557%
São Paulo FC Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Santos Goals
0
71%
1
24%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
São Paulo FCvs
0.34
SantosDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings88%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
São Paulo FC+12
Gap#17
Santos
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
São Paulo FC
14.0%
| Jul 13 | São Pau… v Palmeir… | 1-2 |
| Jul 01 | São Pau… v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| May 14 | São Pau… v Corinth… | 1-1 |
| May 07 | São Pau… v Interna… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | São Pau… v São Ber… | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | São Pau… v Santos | 3-1 |
| Jan 29 | São Pau… v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | São Pau… v Interna… | 0-1 |
| Nov 05 | São Pau… v Flumine… | 3-1 |
| Aug 21 | São Pau… v Santos | 1-0 |
Santos
4.0%
| Jun 21 | Santos v Corinth… | 0-2 |
| Jun 04 | Santos v Interna… | 1-1 |
| May 28 | Santos v RB Brag… | 2-0 |
| May 21 | Santos v Palmeir… | 0-0 |
| May 06 | Santos v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Apr 01 | Santos v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Santos v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Mar 18 | Santos v Flumine… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Santos v Corinth… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Santos v Parnahy… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 12, 2023 | São Paulo FC | 3-1 | Santos |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Santos | 1-0 | São Paulo FC |
| May 02, 2022 | São Paulo FC | 2-1 | Santos |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Santos | 0-3 | São Paulo FC |
Key Factors
São Paulo FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Santos struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.