AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Aug 13, 2023

Flamengo

Home
VS
21:30

São Paulo FC

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Flamengo Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
São Paulo FC Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.12 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Flamengo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Flamengo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 30 Flamengo vs Atletico-… 1-2
Jun 05 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 1-4
May 21 Flamengo vs Corinthia… 1-0
Apr 23 Flamengo vs Internaci… 2-1
Feb 16 Flamengo vs Volta Red… 1-3
Jan 25 Flamengo vs Bangu 1-1
Nov 03 Flamengo vs Corinthia… 1-2
Oct 15 Flamengo vs Atletico-… 1-0
Oct 06 Flamengo vs Internaci… 0-0
Sep 04 Flamengo vs Ceará 1-1
São Paulo FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 2-1
Jul 16 São Paulo… vs Santos 4-1
Jul 13 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 1-2
Jul 01 São Paulo… vs Fluminense 1-0
May 14 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 1-1
May 07 São Paulo… vs Internaci… 2-0
Feb 25 São Paulo… vs São Berna… 0-1
Feb 12 São Paulo… vs Santos 3-1
Jan 29 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 1-2
Nov 09 São Paulo… vs Internaci… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Flamengo in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • São Paulo FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Flamengo Power 0
São Paulo FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Flamengo Position

-9

Position Gap

5

São Paulo FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.