Predictions Match Details
Serie A · Jan 30, 2026 00:30

Botafogo
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

Cruzeiro
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Botafogo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Botafogo Form WWLWW
STABLE
Cruzeiro Form LLWWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS46%
Under 2.541%
Botafogo Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Cruzeiro Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Botafogo
vs
0.69
Cruzeiro
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings88%
Market44%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Botafogo
+12
Gap
#20
Cruzeiro
WR 100% 3 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Botafogo 16.0%
Jan 25 Botafogo v Bangu 2-0
Jan 21 Botafogo v Volta R… 1-0
Jan 18 Botafogo v Sampaio… 2-1
Jan 15 Botafogo v Portugu… 0-2
Jan 04 Botafogo v Santa C… 3-1
Dec 04 Botafogo v Cruzeiro 2-2
Nov 30 Botafogo v Corinth… 2-2
Nov 23 Botafogo v AvaĂ­ 0-0
Nov 22 Botafogo v Remo 3-2
Nov 18 Botafogo v Sport R… 3-2
Cruzeiro 8.0%
Jan 25 Cruzeiro v Atletic… 2-1
Jan 22 Cruzeiro v Democra… 0-1
Jan 17 Cruzeiro v Uberlân… 5-0
Jan 15 Cruzeiro v Tombense 1-2
Jan 10 Cruzeiro v Pouso A… 1-2
Dec 14 Cruzeiro v Corinth… 1-2
Dec 11 Cruzeiro v Corinth… 0-1
Dec 04 Cruzeiro v Botafogo 2-2
Nov 30 Cruzeiro v Ceará 1-1
Nov 23 Cruzeiro v Corinth… 3-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Dec 04, 2025 Cruzeiro 2-2 Botafogo
Aug 03, 2025 Botafogo 0-2 Cruzeiro
Jul 28, 2024 Botafogo 0-3 Cruzeiro
Apr 14, 2024 Cruzeiro 3-2 Botafogo
Dec 03, 2023 Botafogo 0-0 Cruzeiro
Aug 06, 2023 Cruzeiro 0-0 Botafogo
Oct 13, 2021 Cruzeiro 0-0 Botafogo
Jul 10, 2021 Botafogo 3-3 Cruzeiro
Key Factors
Botafogo in strong form (4W in last 5)
Cruzeiro struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.