AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 11, 2026

Atletico-MG

Home
VS
23:00

Remo

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Atletico-MG Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Remo Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.74 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atletico-MG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Remo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Atletico-MG Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Atletico-… vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Jan 31 Atletico-… vs Pouso Ale… 1-3
Jan 28 Atletico-… vs Palmeiras 2-2
Jan 25 Atletico-… vs Cruzeiro 2-1
Jan 22 Atletico-… vs América M… 1-1
Jan 18 Atletico-… vs Tombense 0-0
Jan 14 Atletico-… vs North Esp… 1-1
Jan 11 Atletico-… vs Betim 1-1
Dec 04 Atletico-… vs Palmeiras 0-3
Nov 30 Atletico-… vs Fortaleza 1-0
Remo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Remo vs Águia de … 3-0
Feb 04 Remo vs Mirassol 2-2
Jan 31 Remo vs São Franc… 0-0
Jan 28 Remo vs Vitoria 2-0
Jan 24 Remo vs Bragantin… 2-1
Dec 03 Remo vs Fluminense 1-2
Nov 26 Remo vs Palmeiras 3-2
Nov 23 Remo vs Goiás 3-1
Nov 22 Remo vs Botafogo 3-2
Nov 20 Remo vs Vasco DA … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2025 Atletico-MG 1 - 3 Remo Serie A
Mar 29, 2025 Remo 2 - 1 Atletico-MG Serie A
Nov 26, 2023 Atletico-MG 3 - 0 Remo Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atletico-MG to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atletico-MG Power 0
Remo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Atletico-MG Position

+5

Position Gap

18

Remo Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.