AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Feb 19, 2026

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
22:30

Corinthians

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Corinthians Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.42 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Athletico Paranaense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Athletico… vs Foz Do Ig… 5-0
Jan 28 Athletico… vs Internaci… 0-1
Jan 24 Athletico… vs Aruko Spo… 4-1
Jan 20 Athletico… vs Azuriz 2-1
Jan 17 Athletico… vs Coritiba 0-1
Jan 14 Athletico… vs Operário-… 2-0
Jan 11 Athletico… vs Cianorte 1-1
Jan 08 Athletico… vs Andraus B… 1-2
Nov 23 Athletico… vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Nov 19 Athletico… vs Gavião 3-1
Corinthians Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Corinthia… vs Capivaria… 0-0
Feb 01 Corinthia… vs Flamengo 0-1
Jan 28 Corinthia… vs Bahia 1-2
Jan 25 Corinthia… vs Velo Clube 0-1
Jan 22 Corinthia… vs Santos 1-1
Jan 18 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 1-1
Jan 15 Corinthia… vs RB Bragan… 3-0
Jan 11 Corinthia… vs Ponte Pre… 3-0
Dec 18 Corinthia… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Dec 14 Corinthia… vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletico Paranaense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 19, 2025 Corinthians 0 - 0 Athletico Paranaense Serie B
Oct 09, 2025 Corinthians 2 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie B
Sep 11, 2025 Corinthians 2 - 0 Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 Athletico Paranaense 0 - 1 Corinthians Copa do Brasil
Jun 28, 2025 Athletico Paranaense 0 - 1 Corinthians Serie B
Jun 15, 2025 Athletico Paranaense 0 - 0 Corinthians Serie B
Jan 25, 2025 Corinthians 0 - 0 Athletico Paranaense Paranaense - 1
Feb 18, 2024 Corinthians 1 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Paranaense - 1
Oct 01, 2023 Corinthians 2 - 0 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
May 14, 2023 Athletico Paranaense 3 - 2 Corinthians Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Corinthians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Athletico Paranaense Position

+8

Position Gap

18

Corinthians Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.