AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĆ³n Feb 07, 2026

Monagas SC

Home
VS
23:30

UCV

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Monagas SC Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
UCV Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.81 - 1.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.6
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monagas SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
UCV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Monagas SC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Monagas SC vs Real Esppā€¦ 2-0
Nov 08 Monagas SC vs Zamora 1-0
Nov 04 Monagas SC vs Puerto Caā€¦ 3-2
Oct 31 Monagas SC vs Real Esppā€¦ 2-1
Oct 25 Monagas SC vs Real Esppā€¦ 0-1
Oct 21 Monagas SC vs Puerto Caā€¦ 1-2
Oct 17 Monagas SC vs Zamora 2-0
Oct 05 Monagas SC vs Academia ā€¦ 2-2
Sep 28 Monagas SC vs Caracas FC 2-2
Sep 20 Monagas SC vs Rayo Zuliā€¦ 3-1
UCV Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 UCV vs Trujillanā€¦ 2-0
Oct 05 UCV vs Caracas FC 1-5
Sep 27 UCV vs Rayo Zuliā€¦ 3-0
Sep 22 UCV vs Metropoliā€¦ 1-4
Sep 14 UCV vs Monagas SC 2-0
Aug 31 UCV vs Zamora 0-1
Aug 23 UCV vs Carabobo ā€¦ 4-1
Aug 15 UCV vs Yaracuyanā€¦ 1-0
Aug 11 UCV vs Puerto Caā€¦ 2-2
Aug 03 UCV vs Portuguesā€¦ 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • UCV in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Monagas SC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2025 Monagas SC 2 - 0 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Apr 04, 2025 UCV 0 - 0 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Aug 14, 2024 Monagas SC 1 - 3 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Feb 23, 2024 UCV 1 - 1 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Aug 28, 2023 Monagas SC 1 - 0 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Mar 12, 2023 UCV 0 - 2 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Jul 28, 2022 UCV 0 - 2 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Apr 23, 2022 Monagas SC 1 - 0 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Sep 16, 2021 Monagas SC 2 - 1 UCV Primera Divisiā€¦
Jul 31, 2021 UCV 3 - 0 Monagas SC Primera Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monagas SC Power 0
UCV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Monagas SC Position

-10

Position Gap

3

UCV Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.