AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Mar 15, 2024

Real Noroeste

Home
VS
22:00

Vitoria

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Real Noroeste Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Vitoria Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.24 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.8
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Real Noroeste Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 3-1
Mar 02 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Feb 28 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 1-2
Feb 25 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 2-2
Feb 10 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Feb 07 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 5-1
Jan 31 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 2-3
Mar 24 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 1-0
Mar 17 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 2-1
Feb 25 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 2-1
Vitoria Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 3-1
Mar 10 Vitoria vs Barcelona… 0-2
Feb 25 Vitoria vs Atlético … 3-0
Feb 08 Vitoria vs Desportiv… 1-2
Feb 05 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 0-0
Feb 01 Vitoria vs Jequié 1-0
Jan 31 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 2-3
Jan 25 Vitoria vs Barcelona… 2-1
Jan 17 Vitoria vs Jataiense 0-1
Nov 25 Vitoria vs Chapecoen… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vitoria in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2024 Vitoria 3 - 1 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Jan 31, 2024 Vitoria 2 - 3 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Noroeste to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 90
Real Noroeste Power 0
Vitoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.