Copa EspĂrito Santo · Jul 03, 2024 22:00
Vitoria
PWR 60
Real Noroeste
PWR 44
PWR 44
1 - 2
FT
Vitoria
PWR 60
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Vitoria to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (4%)
3-3 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-2 (3%)
2-3 (2%)
2-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack54
Defense42
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack59
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Real Noroeste Form
WLDLL
STABLE
Vitoria Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS92%
Under 2.536%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Vitoria Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Real Noroestevs
2.68
VitoriaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Real Noroes…-2
Gap#3
Vitoria
WR 33% 21 pts
WR 55% 42 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Noroeste | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 21 |
| Vitoria | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 42 |
Real Noroeste
6.0%
| Jun 22 | Real No… v Vilavel… | 3-1 |
| Jun 19 | Real No… v Desport… | 3-1 |
| May 25 | Real No… v Vitoria | 4-4 |
| May 15 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 2-3 |
| May 08 | Real No… v Porto V… | 5-1 |
| Mar 15 | Real No… v Vitoria | 2-4 |
| Mar 11 | Real No… v Vitoria | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Real No… v Desport… | 2-2 |
Vitoria
6.0%
| Jun 23 | Vitoria v RB Brag… | 2-1 |
| Jun 16 | Vitoria v Interna… | 2-1 |
| Jun 01 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 3-1 |
| May 25 | Vitoria v Real No… | 4-4 |
| May 22 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 1-2 |
| May 18 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 3-1 |
| May 11 | Vitoria v Desport… | 0-0 |
| May 05 | Vitoria v São Pau… | 1-3 |
| May 04 | Vitoria v Capixab… | 2-1 |
| May 02 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 25, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 4-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 2-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Vitoria | 3-1 | Real Noroeste |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-3 | Real Noroeste |
Key Factors
Real Noroeste struggling (3L in last 5)
Vitoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.