AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Espírito Santo Aug 17, 2024

Vitoria

Home
VS
18:00

Real Noroeste

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Vitoria Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Real Noroeste Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.92 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Vitoria Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 11 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 0-1
Aug 11 Vitoria vs Bahia 2-0
Jul 27 Vitoria vs Palmeiras 0-2
Jul 27 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 2-2
Jul 20 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 2-0
Jul 12 Vitoria vs Botafogo 0-1
Jul 06 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 3-0
Jul 03 Vitoria vs Real Noro… 1-2
Jun 23 Vitoria vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Jun 16 Vitoria vs Internaci… 2-1
Real Noroeste Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 1-2
Jul 10 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 1-1
Jul 03 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 1-2
Jun 22 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 3-1
Jun 19 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 3-1
May 25 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 4-4
May 15 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 2-3
Mar 15 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 2-4
Mar 11 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 3-1
Mar 02 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Noroeste struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 03, 2024 Real Noroeste 1 - 2 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
May 25, 2024 Real Noroeste 4 - 4 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
Mar 15, 2024 Real Noroeste 2 - 4 Vitoria Capixaba
Mar 11, 2024 Vitoria 3 - 1 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Jan 31, 2024 Vitoria 2 - 3 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vitoria to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vitoria Power 0
Real Noroeste Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.