AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Feb 01, 2025

Vitoria

Home
VS
20:00

Real Noroeste

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Vitoria Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Real Noroeste Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.68 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Vitoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Jan 19 Vitoria vs Jataiense 1-1
Jan 18 Vitoria vs Desportiv… 1-0
Jan 11 Vitoria vs Barcelona… 0-0
Dec 08 Vitoria vs Flamengo 2-2
Dec 04 Vitoria vs Remo 1-1
Dec 01 Vitoria vs Fortaleza 2-0
Nov 23 Vitoria vs Botafogo 1-1
Nov 20 Vitoria vs Criciúma 0-1
Oct 19 Vitoria vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Real Noroeste Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 2-1
Jan 26 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 1-2
Aug 17 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 1-0
Aug 10 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 1-2
Jul 10 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 1-1
Jul 03 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 1-2
Jun 22 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 3-1
Jun 19 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 3-1
May 25 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 4-4
May 15 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Noroeste struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2024 Vitoria 1 - 0 Real Noroeste Copa Espírito …
Jul 03, 2024 Real Noroeste 1 - 2 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
May 25, 2024 Real Noroeste 4 - 4 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
Mar 15, 2024 Real Noroeste 2 - 4 Vitoria Capixaba
Mar 11, 2024 Vitoria 3 - 1 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Jan 31, 2024 Vitoria 2 - 3 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vitoria Power 0
Real Noroeste Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.