Copa EspĂrito Santo · Apr 26, 2025 19:00
Vitoria
PWR 60
Vitoria
PWR 60
2 - 1
FT
Real Noroeste
PWR 44
PWR 44
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Vitoria to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (18%)
1-0 (17%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack59
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack54
Defense42
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Vitoria Form
WDWDL
STABLE
Real Noroeste Form
WDLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS33%
Under 2.576%
Vitoria Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Vitoriavs
0.75
Real NoroesteDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Vitoria+2
Gap#5
Real Noroes…
WR 55% 42 pts
WR 33% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 42 |
| Real Noroeste | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 21 |
Vitoria
12.0%
| Apr 20 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 0-2 |
| Apr 20 | Vitoria v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Apr 17 | Vitoria v Fortale… | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | Vitoria v Atletic… | 2-2 |
| Apr 06 | Vitoria v Flamengo | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | Vitoria v Juventu… | 2-0 |
| Mar 23 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 0-2 |
| Mar 23 | Vitoria v Bahia | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Vitoria v Bahia | 2-0 |
Real Noroeste
10.0%
| Apr 19 | Real No… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 23 | Real No… v Desport… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Real No… v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Jan 29 | Real No… v Vilavel… | 2-1 |
| Jan 26 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Real No… v Vitoria | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 01, 2025 | Vitoria | 1-2 | Real Noroeste |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Vitoria | 1-0 | Real Noroeste |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 1-2 | Vitoria |
| May 25, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 4-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 2-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Vitoria | 3-1 | Real Noroeste |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-3 | Real Noroeste |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.