AI Match Insights

Primera DivisiĂłn May 08, 2025

CS Cartaginés

Home
VS
02:00

Sporting San Jose

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
CS Cartaginés Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Sporting San Jose Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.92 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CS Cartaginés Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Sporting San Jose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
CS Cartaginés Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 CS Cartag… vs Municipal… 0-1
Apr 27 CS Cartag… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Apr 12 CS Cartag… vs Perez Zel… 3-0
Mar 30 CS Cartag… vs Puntarena… 1-0
Mar 16 CS Cartag… vs LD Alajue… 1-1
Mar 06 CS Cartag… vs Puntarena… 1-0
Mar 03 CS Cartag… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Feb 24 CS Cartag… vs Perez Zel… 0-1
Feb 03 CS Cartag… vs LD Alajue… 1-0
Jan 19 CS Cartag… vs Municipal… 0-1
Sporting San Jose Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Sporting … vs Inter San… 1-0
Apr 21 Sporting … vs Perez Zel… 0-0
Apr 06 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 0-1
Mar 17 Sporting … vs CS Heredi… 1-3
Feb 23 Sporting … vs Deportivo… 2-0
Feb 02 Sporting … vs CS Heredi… 2-0
Jan 21 Sporting … vs Inter San… 0-1
Jan 17 Sporting … vs CS Cartag… 1-1
Jan 12 Sporting … vs Perez Zel… 1-1
Dec 01 Sporting … vs CS Cartag… 6-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • CS CartaginĂ©s in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sporting San Jose struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2025 Sporting San Jose 1 - 1 CS Cartaginés Primera Divisi…
Dec 01, 2024 Sporting San Jose 6 - 2 CS Cartaginés Primera Divisi…
Sep 15, 2024 CS Cartaginés 1 - 0 Sporting San Jose Primera Divisi…
May 09, 2024 CS Cartaginés 1 - 1 Sporting San Jose Primera Divisi…
Mar 04, 2024 Sporting San Jose 2 - 0 CS Cartaginés Primera Divisi…
Nov 22, 2023 Sporting San Jose 1 - 1 CS Cartaginés Primera Divisi…
Sep 17, 2023 CS Cartaginés 2 - 1 Sporting San Jose Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CS Cartaginés to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CS Cartaginés Power 0
Sporting San Jose Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

CS Cartaginés Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Sporting San Jose Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.