Rondoniense · Feb 04, 2026 23:30
União Cacoalense
PWR 46
Paranoá
PWR 36
União Cacoalense
PWR 46
0 - 1
FT
Paranoá
PWR 36
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: União Cacoalense to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (16%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack33
Defense67
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack25
Defense61
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.1
União Cacoalen… Form
LLDWL
DOWN
Paranoá Form
WLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS19%
Under 2.572%
União Cacoa… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Paranoá Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
União Cacoalen…vs
0.28
ParanoáDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
União Cacoa…+2
Gap#5
Paranoá
WR 36% 30 pts
WR 18% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União Cacoalense | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 30 |
| Paranoá | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 31 | 24 |
União Cacoalen…
6.0%
| Jan 31 | União C… v Gurupi | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | União C… v Rondoni… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | União C… v Genus | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | União C… v Palmeir… | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | União C… v Jaguaré | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | União C… v Barcelo… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | União C… v Tocanti… | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | União C… v Rondoni… | 0-4 |
| Dec 04 | União C… v Rondoni… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | União C… v Tupi | 2-1 |
Paranoá
10.0%
| Feb 01 | Paranoá v Rondoni… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Paranoá v Gama | 4-1 |
| Jan 28 | Paranoá v Barcelo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Paranoá v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Paranoá v Capital… | 0-3 |
| Jan 21 | Paranoá v Brasília | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Paranoá v Jaguaré | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Paranoá v Sobradi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Paranoá v ARUC | 0-1 |
| Nov 08 | Paranoá v Jataien… | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 20, 2024 | União Cacoale… | 0-0 | Paranoá |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Paranoá | 2-1 | União Cacoale… |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Paranoá | 3-0 | União Cacoale… |
| May 12, 2021 | União Cacoale… | 3-1 | Paranoá |
| May 02, 2021 | Paranoá | 1-2 | União Cacoale… |
Key Factors
União Cacoalense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.