AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
King's Cup Nov 28, 2025

Al-Ahli Saudi

Home
VS
17:30

Al-Qadisiyah

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Al-Qadisiyah Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 1.94 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Al-Qadisiyah Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Shorta… 4-0
Nov 24 Al-Ahli S… vs Sharjah FC 0-1
Nov 21 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 2-1
Nov 08 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ittiha… 0-1
Nov 04 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Sadd SC 1-2
Nov 03 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Dhafra 1-2
Oct 30 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh 1-1
Oct 28 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 0-1
Oct 23 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Najma 0-1
Oct 21 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Sadd SC 3-1
Al-Qadisiyah Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Faisaly 1-1
Nov 21 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Ahli S… 2-1
Nov 06 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Kholood 4-0
Nov 01 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Taawou… 2-0
Oct 28 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Hazem 3-1
Oct 25 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Akhdoud 0-0
Oct 19 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Suqoor 1-3
Sep 27 Al-Qadisi… vs Al-Fateh … 0-1
Sep 24 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Orubah 1-3
Sep 19 Al-Qadisi… vs Al Khalee… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 21, 2025 Al-Ahli Saudi 2 - 1 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Aug 20, 2025 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 5 Al-Qadisiyah Super Cup
May 26, 2025 Al-Ahli Saudi 2 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Feb 25, 2025 Al-Ahli Saudi 4 - 1 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Jan 27, 2025 Al-Qadisiyah 2 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Sep 27, 2024 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 0 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
May 23, 2023 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah First Division…
Jan 10, 2023 Al-Qadisiyah 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi First Division…
May 14, 2021 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Mar 20, 2021 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Al-Qadisiyah Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.