AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Mar 16, 2025

APS Bomet

Home
VS
12:00

Nairobi United

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
APS Bomet Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Nairobi United Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.96 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
APS Bomet Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Nairobi United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
APS Bomet Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 17 APS Bomet vs Nairobi U… 1-0
Jul 24 APS Bomet vs Murang'a … 1-1
Jul 13 APS Bomet vs Mara Sugar 1-0
Jul 02 APS Bomet vs Shabana 1-0
Feb 14 APS Bomet vs Shabana 1-3
Feb 05 APS Bomet vs Murang'a … 1-2
Jan 21 APS Bomet vs Mara Sugar 0-1
Nairobi United Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Nairobi U… vs Tusker 1-1
Nov 17 Nairobi U… vs APS Bomet 1-0
Jun 07 Nairobi U… vs Mathare U… 2-3
Nov 15 Nairobi U… vs Mathare U… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • APS Bomet in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 17, 2024 Nairobi United 1 - 0 APS Bomet Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: APS Bomet to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
APS Bomet Power 0
Nairobi United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.