AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Oct 26, 2024

Port Vale

Home
VS
14:00

AFC Wimbledon

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Port Vale Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
AFC Wimbledon Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.64 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Port Vale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
AFC Wimbledon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Port Vale Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Port Vale vs Harrogate 0-1
Oct 19 Port Vale vs Fleetwood… 3-1
Oct 19 Port Vale vs Fleetwood… 3-1
Oct 12 Port Vale vs Milton Ke… 0-1
Oct 05 Port Vale vs Newport C… 0-1
Oct 01 Port Vale vs Mancheste… 1-1
Sep 28 Port Vale vs Swindon 2-1
Sep 21 Port Vale vs Accringto… 2-2
Sep 14 Port Vale vs Chesterfi… 1-0
Sep 07 Port Vale vs Newport C… 1-4
AFC Wimbledon Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 AFC Wimbl… vs Morecambe 3-0
Oct 19 AFC Wimbl… vs Newport C… 1-0
Oct 12 AFC Wimbl… vs Carlisle 4-0
Oct 05 AFC Wimbl… vs Watford 1-0
Sep 21 AFC Wimbl… vs Brentford 0-0
Sep 14 AFC Wimbl… vs Milton Ke… 3-0
Aug 31 AFC Wimbl… vs Fleetwood… 1-0
Aug 24 AFC Wimbl… vs Chelsea 0-1
Aug 20 AFC Wimbl… vs Wycombe 1-0
Aug 17 AFC Wimbl… vs Burnley 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Port Vale in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Port Vale to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Port Vale Power 28
AFC Wimbledon Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.