AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano Feb 07, 2026

Sousa

Home
VS
20:00

Atlético Cajazeirense

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sousa Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Atlético Cajazeirense Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.69 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sousa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Atlético Cajazeirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Sousa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sousa vs EC de Pat… 0-1
Jan 28 Sousa vs Treze 2-1
Jan 24 Sousa vs Botafogo … 1-1
Jan 22 Sousa vs Serra Bra… 2-1
Jan 17 Sousa vs Confiança… 3-0
Jan 04 Sousa vs Potiguar … 1-0
Mar 30 Sousa vs Botafogo 1-1
Mar 27 Sousa vs Ferroviár… 2-0
Mar 23 Sousa vs Botafogo 1-0
Mar 16 Sousa vs Serra Bra… 1-1
Atlético Cajazeirense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Atlético … vs Nacional … 1-0
Jan 29 Atlético … vs Serra Bra… 1-0
Jan 25 Atlético … vs Treze 1-2
Jan 21 Atlético … vs EC de Pat… 1-0
Jan 17 Atlético … vs Campinense 2-0
Mar 03 Atlético … vs Sousa 1-2
Mar 16 Atlético … vs Sousa 0-0
Mar 13 Atlético … vs Sousa 0-2
May 09 Atlético … vs Sousa 0-1
Jul 28 Atlético … vs Sousa 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Cajazeirense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Atlético Cajazeiren… 1 - 2 Sousa Paraibano
Mar 16, 2022 Sousa 0 - 0 Atlético Cajazeiren… Paraibano
Mar 13, 2022 Atlético Cajazeiren… 0 - 2 Sousa Paraibano
May 09, 2021 Atlético Cajazeiren… 0 - 1 Sousa Paraibano
Jul 28, 2020 Sousa 1 - 1 Atlético Cajazeiren… Paraibano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sousa to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 92
Sousa Power 0
Atlético Cajazeirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Sousa Position

-4

Position Gap

3

Atlético Cajazeirense Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.