AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

Paraibano Feb 18, 2026

Campinense

Home

22:30

Sousa

Away

AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence

Campinense Win

47.0%

Draw

24.6%

Sousa Win

28.4%

Home Win (47% confidence)

Predicted Score: 3-0

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 94%

Standings 75%

Market 50%

Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 16%

xG: 4.48 - 0.49

Key Insights

xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5

Score Prediction Analysis

Campinense Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

1 goals:

2 goals:

11%

3 goals:

17%

4 goals:

19%

Sousa Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

61%

1 goals:

30%

2 goals:

3 goals:

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Under 2.5 Goals 42%

Campinense Form 12.0%

Date	Match	Result
Jan 31	Campinense vs Botafogo …	4-1
Jan 28	Campinense vs Confiança…	2-2
Jan 25	Campinense vs Pombal EC	2-2
Jan 22	Campinense vs Nacional …	1-2
Jan 17	Campinense vs Atlético …	2-0

Sousa Form 10.0%

Date	Match	Result
Feb 01	Sousa vs EC de Pat…	0-1
Jan 28	Sousa vs Treze	2-1
Jan 24	Sousa vs Botafogo …	1-1
Jan 22	Sousa vs Serra Bra…	2-1
Jan 17	Sousa vs Confiança…	3-0
Jan 04	Sousa vs Potiguar …	1-0
Mar 30	Sousa vs Botafogo	1-1
Mar 27	Sousa vs Ferroviár…	2-0
Mar 23	Sousa vs Botafogo	1-0
Mar 16	Sousa vs Serra Bra…	1-1

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier

Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence

Rules Passed

HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

No key factors identified

Campinense Power 0

Sousa Power 0

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

4

Campinense Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Sousa Position

Home Win Rate: 67%

Away Win Rate: 0%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.