AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano Feb 18, 2026

Botafogo PB

Home
VS
22:30

Treze

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Botafogo PB Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Treze Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.03 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo PB Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Treze Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Botafogo PB Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Botafogo … vs Nacional … 0-0
Jan 31 Botafogo … vs Campinense 4-1
Jan 29 Botafogo … vs Pombal EC 4-0
Jan 24 Botafogo … vs Sousa 1-1
Jan 21 Botafogo … vs Confiança… 0-1
Jan 18 Botafogo … vs EC de Pat… 1-1
Treze Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Treze vs Confiança… 1-0
Jan 28 Treze vs Sousa 2-1
Jan 25 Treze vs Atlético … 1-2
Jan 22 Treze vs Pombal EC 1-2
Jan 18 Treze vs Serra Bra… 0-2
Mar 15 Treze vs Botafogo 0-0
Mar 08 Treze vs Botafogo 1-2
Feb 22 Treze vs Nacional … 1-4
Feb 16 Treze vs Sousa 0-0
Jan 30 Treze vs EC de Pat… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Treze in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo PB Power 0
Treze Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Botafogo PB Position

-3

Position Gap

2

Treze Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.