Ligue 1 · Feb 05, 2026 15:30

SONABEL
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Réal du Faso
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (40.5%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
SONABEL Form LDWWW
STABLE
Réal du Faso Form WWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.534%
BTTS34%
Under 2.566%
SONABEL Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Réal du Faso Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
SONABEL
vs
0.57
Réal du Faso
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
SONABEL
+3
Gap
#11
Réal du Faso
WR 38% 24 pts WR 22% 21 pts
SONABEL 14.0%
Jan 31 SONABEL v AJEB 4-0
Jan 25 SONABEL v Etoile … 0-0
Dec 26 SONABEL v Etoile … 1-2
Dec 18 SONABEL v AJEB 2-0
Dec 13 SONABEL v Réal du… 1-2
Dec 06 SONABEL v Sportin… 2-1
Nov 30 SONABEL v Salitas… 1-1
Nov 24 SONABEL v USFA 2-0
Nov 14 SONABEL v Rahimo 0-0
Nov 08 SONABEL v Vitesse 1-2
Réal du Faso 14.0%
Jan 31 Réal du… v Sportin… 2-0
Jan 26 Réal du… v AJEB 1-0
Dec 26 Réal du… v AJEB 0-0
Dec 18 Réal du… v Sportin… 1-0
Dec 13 Réal du… v SONABEL 1-2
Dec 07 Réal du… v Salitas… 2-2
Dec 03 Réal du… v Rahimo 0-0
Nov 28 Réal du… v CFFEB 0-0
Nov 22 Réal du… v Majesti… 1-0
Nov 14 Réal du… v USFA 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Dec 13, 2025 Réal du Faso 1-2 SONABEL
Apr 28, 2025 SONABEL 0-3 Réal du Faso
Oct 21, 2024 Réal du Faso 0-3 SONABEL
Feb 25, 2023 Réal du Faso 1-1 SONABEL
Nov 12, 2022 SONABEL 0-0 Réal du Faso
Key Factors
SONABEL in strong form (3W in last 5)
Réal du Faso in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.