AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Feb 12, 2026

Lobos Upnfm

Home
VS
23:15

Victoria

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Lobos Upnfm Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Victoria Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.12 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Victoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Lobos Upnfm Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 0-1
Jan 29 Lobos Upn… vs Atlético … 1-1
Jan 25 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 1-1
Dec 07 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 0-0
Dec 04 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 2-0
Nov 28 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 0-0
Nov 22 Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa 1-0
Nov 08 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 1-1
Oct 26 Lobos Upn… vs Victoria 0-1
Oct 18 Lobos Upn… vs Platense … 1-1
Victoria Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Victoria vs CD Marath… 0-0
Jan 25 Victoria vs Platense … 1-1
Dec 06 Victoria vs CD Olimpia 3-0
Dec 02 Victoria vs Atlético … 4-1
Nov 26 Victoria vs Juticalpa 3-4
Nov 23 Victoria vs GĂ©nesis 2-1
Nov 09 Victoria vs Real Espa… 0-2
Nov 02 Victoria vs CD Motagua 2-1
Oct 26 Victoria vs Lobos Upn… 0-1
Oct 15 Victoria vs Platense … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 Victoria 0 - 1 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Aug 16, 2025 Lobos Upnfm 2 - 0 Victoria Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lobos Upnfm to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lobos Upnfm Power 0
Victoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.