AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Feb 19, 2026

Union Magdalena

Home
VS
22:00

Envigado

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Union Magdalena Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Envigado Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.96 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Union Magdalena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Envigado Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Union Magdalena Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Union Mag… vs Orsomarso 0-1
Jan 26 Union Mag… vs Bogota FC 0-0
Nov 14 Union Mag… vs Fortaleza… 2-0
Nov 09 Union Mag… vs America d… 3-0
Oct 30 Union Mag… vs Deportes … 0-2
Oct 26 Union Mag… vs Once Cald… 1-0
Oct 17 Union Mag… vs Envigado 3-1
Oct 12 Union Mag… vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Oct 04 Union Mag… vs Rionegro … 3-2
Sep 27 Union Mag… vs Deportivo… 2-2
Envigado Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Envigado vs Ind. Yumbo 2-0
Jan 26 Envigado vs Real Soac… 0-2
Nov 14 Envigado vs Llaneros 0-3
Nov 11 Envigado vs Independi… 1-1
Nov 07 Envigado vs Millonari… 1-1
Nov 03 Envigado vs Independi… 0-1
Oct 28 Envigado vs Rionegro … 1-0
Oct 25 Envigado vs Chico 0-2
Oct 22 Envigado vs Deportivo… 1-0
Oct 17 Envigado vs Union Mag… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Envigado in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 17, 2025 Union Magdalena 3 - 1 Envigado Primera A
Apr 26, 2025 Envigado 2 - 1 Union Magdalena Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Union Magdalena Power 0
Envigado Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Union Magdalena Position

-5

Position Gap

3

Envigado Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.