AI Match Insights
Primera B Feb 05, 2026
Leones FC
HomeVS
22:30
Bogota FC
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Leones FC Win
Draw
Bogota FC Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
Combined: 46%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.35 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Leones FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Bogota FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (17%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
Under 2.5 Goals
77%
Leones FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 01 | Leones FC vs Quindio | 3-0 |
| Jan 26 | Leones FC vs Tigres FC | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Leones FC vs Bogota FC | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Leones FC vs Depor FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 11 | Leones FC vs Jaguares | 4-0 |
| Oct 05 | Leones FC vs Cúcuta De… | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | Leones FC vs Huila | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Leones FC vs Patriotas… | 0-1 |
| Sep 15 | Leones FC vs Quindio | 2-0 |
| Sep 10 | Leones FC vs Internaci… | 1-0 |
Bogota FC Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30 | Bogota FC vs Internaci… | 1-2 |
| Jan 26 | Bogota FC vs Union Mag… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Bogota FC vs Leones FC | 0-1 |
| Oct 20 | Bogota FC vs Tigres FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Bogota FC vs Real Soac… | 0-3 |
| Oct 03 | Bogota FC vs Popayan | 2-1 |
| Sep 26 | Bogota FC vs Quindio | 6-1 |
| Sep 21 | Bogota FC vs Barranqui… | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | Bogota FC vs Jaguares | 2-0 |
| Sep 06 | Bogota FC vs Tigres FC | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Bogota FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Bogota FC | 0 - 1 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| Jun 03, 2025 | Bogota FC | 0 - 0 | Leones FC | Copa Colombia |
| May 17, 2025 | Leones FC | 3 - 0 | Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Leones FC | 1 - 1 | Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Bogota FC | 2 - 2 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Leones FC | 1 - 0 | Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Bogota FC | 4 - 3 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| Jul 09, 2022 | Leones FC | 2 - 2 | Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Apr 09, 2022 | Bogota FC | 1 - 0 | Leones FC | Primera B |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Leones FC | 1 - 0 | Bogota FC | Primera B |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Leones FC Power
0
Bogota FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
16
Leones FC Position-4
Position Gap12
Bogota FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.