AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Mar 02, 2025

Santos

Home
VS
18:30

São Francisco

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Santos Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
São Francisco Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
São Francisco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Santos vs Guaraní d… 2-1
Feb 16 Santos vs Água Santa 3-1
Feb 16 Santos vs Remo 1-0
Feb 14 Santos vs Athletico… 2-2
Feb 13 Santos vs Corinthia… 2-1
Feb 09 Santos vs Novorizon… 0-0
Feb 08 Santos vs Castanhal 1-1
Feb 01 Santos vs São Paulo… 3-1
Jan 31 Santos vs Fluminense 0-0
Jan 23 Santos vs Palmeiras 1-2
São Francisco Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 São Franc… vs ADESG 1-0
Feb 16 São Franc… vs Capitao P… 2-0
Feb 09 São Franc… vs Independê… 5-0
Jan 25 São Franc… vs Rio Branc… 2-0
Apr 25 São Franc… vs Independê… 4-1
Apr 18 São Franc… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Apr 14 São Franc… vs Galvez 1-2
Mar 06 São Franc… vs Galvez 0-0
Jan 24 São Franc… vs Santos 0-1
Apr 30 São Franc… vs Independê… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santos struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • São Francisco struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 24, 2024 Santos 0 - 1 São Francisco Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santos Power 0
São Francisco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.