AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Piauiense Feb 29, 2024

Santos

Home
VS
19:00

Fluminense

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Santos Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Fluminense Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.46 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Santos Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Santos vs Fluminense 0-3
Feb 18 Santos vs Novorizon… 1-2
Feb 14 Santos vs São Paulo… 0-1
Feb 11 Santos vs Mirassol 2-2
Feb 07 Santos vs Corinthia… 1-0
Feb 04 Santos vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Feb 03 Santos vs Águia de … 1-1
Jan 28 Santos vs Palmeiras 2-1
Jan 28 Santos vs Castanhal 1-0
Jan 24 Santos vs São Franc… 0-1
Fluminense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Fluminense vs Santos 0-3
Feb 25 Fluminense vs Flamengo 2-0
Feb 24 Fluminense vs São José … 0-0
Feb 21 Fluminense vs Monte Azul 1-1
Feb 18 Fluminense vs Figueiren… 1-1
Feb 17 Fluminense vs Madureira… 0-1
Feb 15 Fluminense vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Feb 04 Fluminense vs Boavista 2-2
Feb 03 Fluminense vs Taubaté 0-1
Jan 31 Fluminense vs Botafogo 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santos in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 25, 2024 Fluminense 0 - 3 Santos Piauiense
Nov 29, 2023 Santos 0 - 3 Fluminense Serie A
Jul 29, 2023 Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Apr 01, 2023 Fluminense 2 - 1 Santos Piauiense
Mar 29, 2023 Santos 1 - 0 Fluminense Piauiense
Mar 18, 2023 Santos 0 - 0 Fluminense Piauiense
Aug 01, 2022 Santos 2 - 2 Fluminense Serie A
Apr 09, 2022 Fluminense 0 - 0 Santos Serie A
Oct 27, 2021 Santos 2 - 0 Fluminense Serie A
Jun 17, 2021 Fluminense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Santos to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santos Power 0
Fluminense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.