Piauiense · Jan 12, 2025 19:00
Santos
PWR 54
Fluminense
PWR 40
Santos
PWR 54
1 - 0
FT
Fluminense
PWR 40
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Santos to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%)
0-0 (17%)
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (11%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense75
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.7
Attack35
Defense55
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.3
Santos Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Fluminense Form
WWDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS32%
Under 2.574%
Santos Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Fluminense Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Santosvs
1.12
FluminenseDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum44%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Santos+2
Gap#4
Fluminense
WR 44% 31 pts
WR 29% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 31 |
| Fluminense | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 20 |
Santos
12.0%
| Nov 24 | Santos v Sport Rā¦ | 2-1 |
| Nov 17 | Santos v CRB | 0-2 |
| Nov 12 | Santos v Corinthā¦ | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Santos v Vila Noā¦ | 3-0 |
| Oct 28 | Santos v Ituano | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Santos v Mirassol | 3-2 |
| Sep 24 | Santos v Novorizā¦ | 1-1 |
| Aug 22 | Santos v GuaranĆā¦ | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Santos v Internaā¦ | 6-2 |
| Aug 03 | Santos v Sport Rā¦ | 1-1 |
Fluminense
14.0%
| Dec 08 | Flumineā¦ v Palmeirā¦ | 0-1 |
| Dec 05 | Flumineā¦ v CuiabĆ” | 1-0 |
| Dec 01 | Flumineā¦ v Athletiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Flumineā¦ v CriciĆŗma | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Flumineā¦ v Fortaleā¦ | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | Flumineā¦ v Remo | 2-2 |
| Oct 17 | Flumineā¦ v Flamengo | 0-2 |
| Oct 04 | Flumineā¦ v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Flumineā¦ v Botafogo | 0-1 |
| Sep 01 | Flumineā¦ v SĆ£o Pauā¦ | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 29, 2024 | Santos | 2-1 | Fluminense |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Fluminense | 0-3 | Santos |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Santos | 0-3 | Fluminense |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Santos |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Santos |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Santos | 1-0 | Fluminense |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Santos | 0-0 | Fluminense |
| Aug 01, 2022 | Santos | 2-2 | Fluminense |
| Apr 09, 2022 | Fluminense | 0-0 | Santos |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Santos | 2-0 | Fluminense |
Key Factors
Santos in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.