AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 10, 2026

Annan Athletic

Home
VS
19:45

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Annan Athletic Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Dumbarton Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.21 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.9
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Annan Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Annan Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Annan Ath… vs Clyde 1-1
Jan 24 Annan Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-2
Jan 16 Annan Ath… vs Rangers FC 5-0
Dec 27 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 2-2
Dec 20 Annan Ath… vs East Kilb… 1-3
Dec 13 Annan Ath… vs Forfar At… 3-1
Dec 06 Annan Ath… vs Spartans 1-1
Nov 29 Annan Ath… vs Buckie Th… 4-0
Nov 22 Annan Ath… vs Clyde 1-0
Nov 15 Annan Ath… vs Edinburgh… 1-1
Dumbarton Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Dumbarton vs Edinburgh… 1-2
Jan 24 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 2-2
Jan 03 Dumbarton vs Spartans 2-0
Dec 27 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 1-2
Dec 20 Dumbarton vs Stranraer 1-1
Dec 16 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 0-9
Dec 13 Dumbarton vs East Kilb… 2-0
Dec 06 Dumbarton vs Edinburgh… 4-3
Nov 29 Dumbarton vs Auchinlec… 0-4
Nov 22 Dumbarton vs Forfar At… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dumbarton struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Dumbarton 2 - 1 Annan Athletic League Two
Aug 23, 2025 Annan Athletic 3 - 4 Dumbarton League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Annan Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Annan Athletic Position

+1

Position Gap

8

Dumbarton Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.