AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Piauiense Feb 19, 2026

Fluminense PI

Home
VS
22:00

Parnahyba

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Fluminense PI Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Parnahyba Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.15 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.4 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fluminense PI Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Parnahyba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Fluminense PI Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Fluminens… vs TEC 1-0
Jan 24 Fluminens… vs Altos 2-2
Jan 17 Fluminens… vs Piauí 1-2
Jan 10 Fluminens… vs Oeirense 1-2
Mar 29 Fluminens… vs Piauí 2-0
Feb 08 Fluminens… vs Corí-Sabbá 4-0
Jan 21 Fluminens… vs Corí-Sabbá 1-2
Feb 25 Fluminens… vs Corí-Sabbá 1-2
Jan 14 Fluminens… vs Corí-Sabbá 2-1
Mar 03 Fluminens… vs Corí-Sabbá 1-0
Parnahyba Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Parnahyba vs Altos 0-0
Jan 26 Parnahyba vs PiauĂ­ 1-0
Jan 18 Parnahyba vs Corí-Sabbá 2-1
Jan 11 Parnahyba vs Atlético … 2-2
Mar 15 Parnahyba vs PiauĂ­ 2-1
Mar 09 Parnahyba vs PiauĂ­ 2-1
Mar 02 Parnahyba vs Atlético … 1-3
Feb 26 Parnahyba vs Confiança 0-5
Feb 23 Parnahyba vs Athletico… 1-2
Feb 09 Parnahyba vs PiauĂ­ 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Parnahyba struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fluminense PI Power 0
Parnahyba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Fluminense PI Position

+6

Position Gap

8

Parnahyba Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.