AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Feb 09, 2026

Amazônia PA

Home
VS
19:00

Capitao Poco

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Amazônia PA Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Capitao Poco Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Amazônia PA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Capitao Poco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Amazônia PA Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Amazônia … vs Cametá 3-1
Feb 01 Amazônia … vs Sao Raimu… 2-2
Jan 28 Amazônia … vs Tuna Luso 1-0
Jun 29 Amazônia … vs União Cac… 3-2
Jun 15 Amazônia … vs União Cac… 0-0
Feb 06 Amazônia … vs Tuna Luso 2-4
Capitao Poco Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Capitao P… vs Bragantin… 2-1
Feb 01 Capitao P… vs Paysandu … 1-0
Jan 27 Capitao P… vs São Franc… 3-1
Apr 02 Capitao P… vs Castanhal 3-1
Mar 29 Capitao P… vs Paysandu … 2-0
Mar 02 Capitao P… vs Independi… 1-1
Feb 23 Capitao P… vs Bragantin… 1-1
Feb 16 Capitao P… vs São Franc… 2-0
Jan 19 Capitao P… vs Paysandu … 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Capitao Poco struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Amazônia PA Power 0
Capitao Poco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Amazônia PA Position

+1

Position Gap

8

Capitao Poco Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.