AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Feb 11, 2026

Tuna Luso

Home
VS
21:00

São Francisco

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Tuna Luso Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
São Francisco Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.48 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
São Francisco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Tuna Luso Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 1-0
Feb 01 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 0-2
Jan 28 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 1-0
Apr 12 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
Apr 06 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 2-1
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Remo 2-1
Mar 30 Tuna Luso vs Castanhal 3-3
Mar 14 Tuna Luso vs CSA 5-0
Feb 01 Tuna Luso vs Cametá 3-0
Jan 28 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
São Francisco Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 São Franc… vs ADESG 0-2
Feb 04 São Franc… vs Santa Rosa 1-0
Jan 31 São Franc… vs Remo 0-0
Jan 29 São Franc… vs Rio Branc… 0-6
Jan 27 São Franc… vs Capitao P… 3-1
Jan 24 São Franc… vs Independê… 0-1
Jan 16 São Franc… vs Galvez 4-1
Mar 16 São Franc… vs Humaitá 0-4
Mar 09 São Franc… vs Galvez 0-1
Mar 02 São Franc… vs Santos 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • São Francisco struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tuna Luso Power 0
São Francisco Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Tuna Luso Position

-4

Position Gap

6

São Francisco Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.