AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Feb 12, 2026

Amazônia PA

Home
VS
21:00

Santa Rosa

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Amazônia PA Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Santa Rosa Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.55 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Amazônia PA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Santa Rosa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Amazônia PA Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Amazônia … vs Cametá 3-1
Feb 01 Amazônia … vs Sao Raimu… 2-2
Jan 28 Amazônia … vs Tuna Luso 1-0
Jun 29 Amazônia … vs União Cac… 3-2
Jun 15 Amazônia … vs União Cac… 0-0
Feb 06 Amazônia … vs Tuna Luso 2-4
Santa Rosa Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Santa Rosa vs São Franc… 1-0
Jan 31 Santa Rosa vs Castanhal 1-0
Jan 25 Santa Rosa vs Águia de … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Amazônia PA to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 92
Amazônia PA Power 0
Santa Rosa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Amazônia PA Position

+2

Position Gap

9

Santa Rosa Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.