AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 04, 2026

Rio Claro FC

Home
VS
18:00

Rio Branco SP

Away
AI Predictions 61.7% Confidence
Rio Claro FC Win
61.7%
Draw
21.7%
Rio Branco SP Win
16.7%
Home Win (62% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 91%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.54 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 14 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Claro FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Rio Branco SP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Rio Claro FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Rio Claro… vs União São… 1-2
Jan 28 Rio Claro… vs Paulista … 2-1
Jan 24 Rio Claro… vs União Bar… 0-0
Mar 08 Rio Claro… vs São Berna… 3-0
Mar 01 Rio Claro… vs Ferroviár… 1-0
Feb 26 Rio Claro… vs Grêmio Pr… 0-0
Feb 22 Rio Claro… vs Votuporan… 0-0
Feb 19 Rio Claro… vs Taubaté 2-1
Aug 17 Rio Claro… vs União São… 0-2
Jul 13 Rio Claro… vs União São… 0-0
Rio Branco SP Form 3.3%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Rio Branc… vs Portugues… 3-0
Jan 28 Rio Branc… vs XV de Jau 0-1
Jan 24 Rio Branc… vs Rio Preto 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rio Claro FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

MASTER: Rio Claro FC to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Rio Claro FC Power 0
Rio Branco SP Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Rio Claro FC Position

+14

Position Gap

16

Rio Branco SP Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.