AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

Paulista - A3 Feb 04, 2026

Itapirense

Home

22:00

Marília

Away

AI Predictions 37.5% Confidence

Itapirense Win

37.5%

Draw

26.5%

Marília Win

36.0%

Home Win (38% confidence)

Predicted Score: 0-1

Decision Justification

Player Score 40%

Momentum 36%

Standings 40%

Market 50%

Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 55%

xG: 0.41 - 1.33

High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized

Score Prediction Analysis

Itapirense Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

66%

1 goals:

27%

2 goals:

3 goals:

4 goals:

Marília Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

26%

1 goals:

35%

2 goals:

23%

3 goals:

10%

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1 (23%) 0-0 (18%) 0-2 (16%) 1-1 (10%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (7%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Under 2.5 Goals 75%

Itapirense Form 10.0%

Date	Match	Result
Jan 31	Itapirense vs Catanduva	2-0
Jan 28	Itapirense vs Francana	2-0
Jan 23	Itapirense vs Paulista …	2-2
Mar 15	Itapirense vs EC São Be…	1-1

Marília Form 15.0%

Date	Match	Result
Jan 31	Marília vs Paulista …	0-0
Jan 28	Marília vs Bandeiran…	4-0
Jan 24	Marília vs EC São Be…	1-1
Apr 04	Marília vs Sertãozin…	1-0

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Itapirense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier

Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence

Rules Passed

AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

No key factors identified

Itapirense Power 0

Marília Power 0

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

10

Itapirense Position

-5

Position Gap

5

Marília Position

Home Win Rate: 25%

Away Win Rate: 50%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.