AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 04, 2026

Paulista FC

Home
VS
23:00

Portuguesa Santista

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Paulista FC Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Portuguesa Santista Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.45 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paulista FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Portuguesa Santista Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Paulista FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Paulista … vs Marcílio … 0-0
Jan 28 Paulista … vs Rio Claro… 2-1
Jan 23 Paulista … vs Jataiense 2-2
Aug 31 Paulista … vs Primavera… 2-0
Aug 23 Paulista … vs Primavera… 1-0
Aug 16 Paulista … vs XV de Pir… 1-0
Aug 08 Paulista … vs Rio Branc… 2-1
Aug 03 Paulista … vs Primavera… 2-0
Jul 26 Paulista … vs São Berna… 0-2
Jul 19 Paulista … vs Guaraní RS 1-0
Portuguesa Santista Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Portugues… vs Rio Branc… 3-0
Jan 29 Portugues… vs USAC 1-0
Jan 24 Portugues… vs Bandeiran… 1-2
Aug 30 Portugues… vs Oeste 0-2
Aug 25 Portugues… vs Oeste 0-1
Aug 16 Portugues… vs São José … 1-1
Aug 10 Portugues… vs Taubaté 2-1
Aug 03 Portugues… vs São Caeta… 0-0
Jul 28 Portugues… vs Oeste 3-1
Jul 20 Portugues… vs Santo And… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portuguesa Santista in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paulista FC Power 0
Portuguesa Santista Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Paulista FC Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Portuguesa Santista Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 75%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.