AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 04, 2026

Bandeirante SP

Home
VS
23:00

União Barbarense

Away
AI Predictions 40.1% Confidence
Bandeirante SP Win
32.3%
Draw
27.5%
União Barbarense Win
40.1%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.35 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bandeirante SP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
União Barbarense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Bandeirante SP Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Bandeiran… vs Desportiv… 1-1
Jan 28 Bandeiran… vs Marília 4-0
Jan 24 Bandeiran… vs Portugues… 1-2
Mar 15 Bandeiran… vs Sertãozin… 1-1
Mar 09 Bandeiran… vs Desportiv… 0-1
Mar 05 Bandeiran… vs Comercial 2-0
Mar 01 Bandeiran… vs Rio Preto 3-0
Feb 26 Bandeiran… vs USAC 3-0
Jan 19 Bandeiran… vs Marcílio … 2-1
Mar 23 Bandeiran… vs Desportiv… 1-0
União Barbarense Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 União Bar… vs Rio Preto 1-1
Jan 28 União Bar… vs União São… 1-2
Jan 24 União Bar… vs Rio Claro… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bandeirante SP struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bandeirante SP to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
Bandeirante SP Power 0
União Barbarense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Bandeirante SP Position

-7

Position Gap

7

União Barbarense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.