AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Feb 11, 2026

Rio Branco-VN

Home
VS
18:00

União São João

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Rio Branco-VN Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
União São João Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.06 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rio Branco-VN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
União São João Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Rio Branco-VN Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Rio Branc… vs Rio Claro… 3-1
Feb 04 Rio Branc… vs Capixaba … 0-2
Feb 03 Rio Branc… vs Vilavelhe… 0-1
Feb 02 Rio Branc… vs Independê… 2-1
Feb 01 Rio Branc… vs Portugues… 3-0
Feb 01 Rio Branc… vs Real Noro… 0-1
Jan 31 Rio Branc… vs Serra Tal… 1-0
Jan 29 Rio Branc… vs São Franc… 0-6
Jan 29 Rio Branc… vs Porto Vit… 2-2
Jan 28 Rio Branc… vs XV de Jau 0-1
União São João Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 União São… vs Rio Preto 1-0
Jan 31 União São… vs Rio Claro… 1-2
Jan 28 União São… vs União Cac… 1-2
Jan 23 União São… vs XV de Jau 0-1
Sep 12 União São… vs Primavera… 0-2
Sep 08 União São… vs Primavera… 4-0
Aug 29 União São… vs Oeste 3-0
Aug 23 União São… vs Oeste 1-0
Aug 16 União São… vs Comercial 1-0
Aug 09 União São… vs Maracanaú… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rio Branco-VN struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • União São João struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rio Branco-VN Power 0
União São João Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.