AI Match Insights
Primera División - Clausura Sep 02, 2023
Boston River
HomeVS
18:30
Peñarol Montevideo
AwayAI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Boston River Win
Draw
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Away Win
(40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 41%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.27 - 1.03
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Peñarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (13%)
0-1 (10%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
Boston River Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16 | Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… | 2-1 |
| Jul 02 | Boston Ri… vs Danubio | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Boston Ri… vs Danubio | 3-3 |
| Feb 20 | Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… | 2-1 |
| Sep 10 | Boston Ri… vs Albion FC | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | Boston Ri… vs Albion FC | 1-2 |
Peñarol Montevideo Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16 | Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… | 2-1 |
| Jul 03 | Peñarol M… vs Atletico … | 2-0 |
| May 08 | Peñarol M… vs Racing Cl… | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | Peñarol M… vs Atletico … | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… | 2-1 |
| Sep 24 | Peñarol M… vs Atletico … | 0-1 |
| Jun 12 | Peñarol M… vs Atletico … | 1-2 |
| Apr 23 | Peñarol M… vs Atletico … | 0-1 |
| Oct 20 | Peñarol M… vs Atletico … | 3-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Montevideo | 2 - 1 | Boston River | Primera Divisi… |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Peñarol Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Boston River | Primera Divisi… |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River | 2 - 1 | Peñarol Montevideo | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Boston River to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Boston River Power
0
Peñarol Montevideo Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.