AI Match Insights

Primera División - Clausura Sep 02, 2023

Boston River

Home
VS
18:30

Peñarol Montevideo

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Boston River Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Peñarol Montevideo Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.27 - 1.03
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Peñarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Boston River Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 16 Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… 2-1
Jul 02 Boston Ri… vs Danubio 1-0
Mar 19 Boston Ri… vs Danubio 3-3
Feb 20 Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… 1-0
Oct 12 Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… 2-1
Sep 10 Boston Ri… vs Albion FC 1-0
Apr 02 Boston Ri… vs Albion FC 1-2
Peñarol Montevideo Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 16 Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… 2-1
Jul 03 Peñarol M… vs Atletico … 2-0
May 08 Peñarol M… vs Racing Cl… 0-2
Mar 12 Peñarol M… vs Atletico … 2-2
Feb 20 Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… 1-0
Oct 12 Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… 2-1
Sep 24 Peñarol M… vs Atletico … 0-1
Jun 12 Peñarol M… vs Atletico … 1-2
Apr 23 Peñarol M… vs Atletico … 0-1
Oct 20 Peñarol M… vs Atletico … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 16, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 1 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Feb 20, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 1 - 0 Boston River Primera Divisi…
Oct 12, 2022 Boston River 2 - 1 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Boston River to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boston River Power 0
Peñarol Montevideo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.