AI Match Insights
Primera División - Apertura Apr 20, 2024
Boston River
HomeVS
18:00
Peñarol Montevideo
AwayAI Predictions 47.6% Confidence
Boston River Win
Draw
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Away Win
(48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 39%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.67
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Peñarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (38%)
0-1 (25%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
93%
Boston River Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24 | Boston Ri… vs Danubio | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… | 2-0 |
| Dec 08 | Boston Ri… vs Plaza Col… | 3-2 |
| Dec 03 | Boston Ri… vs Cerro Lar… | 0-1 |
| Nov 29 | Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Boston Ri… vs Atletico … | 2-0 |
| Nov 20 | Boston Ri… vs Defensor … | 2-0 |
| Nov 16 | Boston Ri… vs La Luz | 1-2 |
| Oct 24 | Boston Ri… vs Danubio | 1-1 |
| Sep 02 | Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… | 0-1 |
Peñarol Montevideo Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17 | Peñarol M… vs Atletico … | 1-3 |
| Mar 15 | Peñarol M… vs Racing Cl… | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | Peñarol M… vs Peñarol M… | 3-1 |
| Feb 06 | Peñarol M… vs Club Naci… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Peñarol M… vs Defensor … | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Peñarol M… vs Peñarol M… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Peñarol M… vs Peñarol M… | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Peñarol M… vs Peñarol M… | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Peñarol M… vs Rangers FC | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
- Boston River struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 05, 2024 | Peñarol Montevideo | 2 - 0 | Boston River | Copa Uruguay |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Peñarol Montevideo | 2 - 0 | Boston River | Primera Divisi… |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Boston River | 0 - 1 | Peñarol Montevideo | Primera Divisi… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Montevideo | 2 - 1 | Boston River | Primera Divisi… |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Peñarol Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Boston River | Primera Divisi… |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River | 2 - 1 | Peñarol Montevideo | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Boston River to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Boston River Power
0
Peñarol Montevideo Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.