AI Match Insights
Primera DivisiĆ³n - Clausura Oct 19, 2024
PeƱarol Montevideo
HomeVS
22:30
Boston River
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
PeƱarol Montevideo Win
Draw
Boston River Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 47%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PeƱarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (26%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
85%
PeƱarol Montevideo Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Racing Clā¦ | 0-0 |
| Aug 04 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Club Naciā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jul 28 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Danubio | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Defensor ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jul 21 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Fenix | 2-0 |
| Jul 21 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Cerrito | 0-1 |
| Jul 14 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs River Plaā¦ | 1-3 |
| Jul 13 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Rampla Juā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jul 06 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Deportivoā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jul 06 | PeƱarol Mā¦ vs Cerro Larā¦ | 1-0 |
Boston River Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 08 | Boston Riā¦ vs Danubio | 2-0 |
| Jul 28 | Boston Riā¦ vs Club Naciā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jul 21 | Boston Riā¦ vs Danubio | 1-2 |
| Jul 13 | Boston Riā¦ vs Miramar | 2-1 |
| Jul 06 | Boston Riā¦ vs Cerrito | 2-0 |
| Jun 23 | Boston Riā¦ vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jun 17 | Boston Riā¦ vs Cerro Larā¦ | 0-2 |
| Jun 11 | Boston Riā¦ vs Rampla Juā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 20 | Boston Riā¦ vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 1-3 |
| Feb 24 | Boston Riā¦ vs Danubio | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Boston River struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2024 | PeƱarol Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Boston River | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Boston River | 1 - 3 | PeƱarol Montevideo | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Feb 05, 2024 | PeƱarol Montevideo | 2 - 0 | Boston River | Copa Uruguay |
| Nov 29, 2023 | PeƱarol Montevideo | 2 - 0 | Boston River | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Boston River | 0 - 1 | PeƱarol Montevideo | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Jul 16, 2023 | PeƱarol Montevideo | 2 - 1 | Boston River | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Feb 20, 2023 | PeƱarol Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Boston River | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Boston River | 2 - 1 | PeƱarol Montevideo | Primera Divisiā¦ |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: PeƱarol Montevideo to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
PeƱarol Montevideo Power
0
Boston River Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.