AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League Feb 17, 2026

Al Ansar

Home
VS
12:15

Reyadi Abaseya

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Al Ansar Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Reyadi Abaseya Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.24 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.3 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Ansar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Reyadi Abaseya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Al Ansar Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Al Ansar vs Al Hikma 2-0
Jan 25 Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh 0-0
Jan 18 Al Ansar vs Al Nejmeh 1-0
Dec 30 Al Ansar vs Bourj 4-1
Dec 26 Al Ansar vs Tadamon S… 2-0
Dec 21 Al Ansar vs Al Mabarr… 2-0
Dec 14 Al Ansar vs Jwaaya FC 0-1
Dec 06 Al Ansar vs Al Ahed 1-5
Dec 02 Al Ansar vs Shabab Al… 1-1
Nov 07 Al Ansar vs Reyadi Ab… 0-1
Reyadi Abaseya Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Reyadi Ab… vs Jwaaya FC 0-0
Jan 24 Reyadi Ab… vs Al Ahed 0-1
Dec 28 Reyadi Ab… vs Racing 1-3
Dec 19 Reyadi Ab… vs Bourj 1-0
Dec 13 Reyadi Ab… vs Shabab Al… 0-0
Dec 07 Reyadi Ab… vs Safa 2-1
Nov 07 Reyadi Ab… vs Al Ansar 0-1
Nov 02 Reyadi Ab… vs Al Hikma 3-0
Oct 26 Reyadi Ab… vs Al Nejmeh 0-1
Oct 17 Reyadi Ab… vs Tadamon S… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Ansar in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 07, 2025 Reyadi Abaseya 0 - 1 Al Ansar Premier League
Feb 01, 2025 Al Ansar 5 - 0 Reyadi Abaseya Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Ansar to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Ansar Power 0
Reyadi Abaseya Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Al Ansar Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Reyadi Abaseya Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.