Azerbaijan Premier League · Feb 10, 2026 15:00
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
Qabala
PWR 35
Neftchi Baku
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Qabala
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (10%)
0-0 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 0% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 0%, pos gap 3
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Neftchi Baku Form
WWDWD
STABLE
Qabala Form
LDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS46%
Under 2.559%
Neftchi Baku Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Qabala Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Neftchi Bakuvs
1.43
QabalaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum44%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Neftchi Baku+3
Gap#10
Qabala
WR 11% 24 pts
WR 11% 14 pts
Neftchi Baku
16.0%
| Feb 07 | Neftchi… v Oleksan… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Neftchi… v Araz | 0-4 |
| Jan 23 | Neftchi… v Zira | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Neftchi… v Karvan | 1-2 |
| Dec 15 | Neftchi… v Sumqayıt | 2-2 |
| Dec 08 | Neftchi… v Sabah FA | 2-0 |
| Dec 02 | Neftchi… v Zira | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Neftchi… v Xorazm | 2-0 |
| Nov 28 | Neftchi… v Turan T… | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Neftchi… v Mil-Muğ… | 2-3 |
Qabala
10.0%
| Feb 05 | Qabala v Səbail … | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Qabala v Sabah FA | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Qabala v Mil-Muğ… | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | Qabala v Şamaxı | 0-4 |
| Dec 24 | Qabala v Baku Sp… | 2-1 |
| Dec 21 | Qabala v Qarabağ… | 1-2 |
| Dec 17 | Qabala v MOIK | 1-3 |
| Dec 14 | Qabala v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | Qabala v Safa Ba… | 1-1 |
| Dec 04 | Qabala v Safa Ba… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Qabala | 0-2 | Neftchi Baku |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Qabala | 0-1 | Neftchi Baku |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Neftchi Baku | 3-1 | Qabala |
| Nov 05, 2023 | Qabala | 0-2 | Neftchi Baku |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 2-0 | Qabala |
| Jun 03, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 0-1 | Qabala |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Neftchi Baku | 1-2 | Qabala |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Qabala | 0-0 | Neftchi Baku |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Neftchi Baku | 2-0 | Qabala |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Qabala | 1-2 | Neftchi Baku |
Key Factors
Neftchi Baku in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.